{"id":6247,"date":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/?post_type=glossary&#038;p=6247"},"modified":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","slug":"what-are-event-contracts","status":"publish","type":"glossary","link":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/resources\/glossary\/what-are-event-contracts\/","title":{"rendered":"O que s\u00e3o Contratos de Evento?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Contratos de evento<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> s\u00e3o instrumentos financeiros que pagam um valor fixo com base no resultado sim-ou-n\u00e3o de um evento espec\u00edfico do mundo real. Cada contrato tem uma pergunta definida e uma data de expira\u00e7\u00e3o, momento em que se liquida pelo seu valor total se o resultado for sim, ou zero se for n\u00e3o. Mercados existem em pol\u00edtica, economia, esportes, clima e eventos culturais, dando aos traders exposi\u00e7\u00e3o a resultados que os instrumentos financeiros tradicionais n\u00e3o precificam diretamente.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Contratos de evento s\u00e3o negociados em mercados de previs\u00e3o, que s\u00e3o bolsas onde as posi\u00e7\u00f5es sim e n\u00e3o s\u00e3o cotadas separadamente com pre\u00e7os variando entre $0 e $1 \u00e0 medida que novas informa\u00e7\u00f5es alteram a probabilidade percebida de cada resultado. Um contrato precificado em $0.60 para sim implica a vis\u00e3o coletiva do mercado de que o resultado sim tem uma probabilidade de 60%. Os traders podem tomar qualquer um dos lados, manter at\u00e9 a expira\u00e7\u00e3o para a liquida\u00e7\u00e3o fixa, ou negociar entrando e saindo \u00e0 medida que os pre\u00e7os se movem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Contratos de evento tornaram-se uma das classes de ativos de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido no trading de varejo, impulsionados em parte pela acessibilidade do produto e em parte pela gama de mercados dispon\u00edveis.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"glossary-category":[131],"class_list":["post-6247","glossary","type-glossary","status-publish","hentry","glossary-category-trader-glossary"],"acf":{"target_keyword":"Event contracts","glossary_post_image":"","key_takeaway":"Key Takeaway","key_takeaway_description":"Event contracts are yes-or-no financial instruments that pay a fixed amount based on the outcome of a defined real-world event. They trade on prediction markets at prices between $0 and $1, reflecting the probability of the yes outcome.","faq":"<b>What kinds of events can event contracts cover?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The range includes political outcomes such as elections and legislation, economic releases such as central bank rate decisions and inflation prints, sports outcomes, weather events, cultural milestones, and any other outcome with a defined resolution point. Prediction markets add new contracts as demand emerges around specific events.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How is the price of an event contract determined?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prices move between $0 and $1 based on the market's collective view of how likely the yes outcome is. A contract priced at $0.30 for yes implies a 30% probability. Prices update in real time as new information becomes available and as traders buy and sell the yes and no sides.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How are event contracts different from other trading instruments?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Event contracts have a defined outcome and a scheduled resolution date, whereas most other trading instruments trade continuously without a set endpoint. Prices are bounded between $0 and $1 rather than moving freely, and the value is determined by a specific real-world outcome rather than ongoing supply and demand for an underlying asset.<\/span>"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary\/6247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/glossary"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"glossary-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary-category?post=6247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}