{"id":6247,"date":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/?post_type=glossary&#038;p=6247"},"modified":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","slug":"what-are-event-contracts","status":"publish","type":"glossary","link":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/resources\/glossary\/what-are-event-contracts\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 Son Contratos de Evento?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Contratos de eventos<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> son instrumentos financieros que pagan una cantidad fija basada en el resultado de s\u00ed o no de un evento espec\u00edfico del mundo real. Cada contrato tiene una pregunta definida y una fecha de vencimiento, momento en el cual se liquida por su valor total si el resultado se resuelve como s\u00ed, o cero si se resuelve como no. Existen mercados en pol\u00edtica, econom\u00eda, deportes, clima y eventos culturales, dando a los traders exposici\u00f3n a resultados que los instrumentos financieros tradicionales no valoran directamente.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Los contratos de eventos se negocian en mercados de predicci\u00f3n, que son bolsas donde las posiciones de s\u00ed y no se cotizan por separado con precios que se mueven entre $0 y $1 a medida que nueva informaci\u00f3n cambia la probabilidad percibida de cada resultado. Un contrato con un precio de $0.60 para s\u00ed implica la visi\u00f3n colectiva del mercado de que el resultado de s\u00ed tiene una probabilidad del 60%. Los traders pueden tomar cualquiera de los dos lados, mantener hasta el vencimiento para la liquidaci\u00f3n fija, o negociar entrando y saliendo a medida que los precios se mueven.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Los contratos de eventos se han convertido en una de las clases de activos de m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido crecimiento en el trading minorista, impulsados en parte por la accesibilidad del producto y en parte por la gama de mercados disponibles.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"glossary-category":[131],"class_list":["post-6247","glossary","type-glossary","status-publish","hentry","glossary-category-trader-glossary"],"acf":{"target_keyword":"Event contracts","glossary_post_image":"","key_takeaway":"Key Takeaway","key_takeaway_description":"Event contracts are yes-or-no financial instruments that pay a fixed amount based on the outcome of a defined real-world event. They trade on prediction markets at prices between $0 and $1, reflecting the probability of the yes outcome.","faq":"<b>What kinds of events can event contracts cover?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The range includes political outcomes such as elections and legislation, economic releases such as central bank rate decisions and inflation prints, sports outcomes, weather events, cultural milestones, and any other outcome with a defined resolution point. Prediction markets add new contracts as demand emerges around specific events.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How is the price of an event contract determined?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prices move between $0 and $1 based on the market's collective view of how likely the yes outcome is. A contract priced at $0.30 for yes implies a 30% probability. Prices update in real time as new information becomes available and as traders buy and sell the yes and no sides.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How are event contracts different from other trading instruments?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Event contracts have a defined outcome and a scheduled resolution date, whereas most other trading instruments trade continuously without a set endpoint. Prices are bounded between $0 and $1 rather than moving freely, and the value is determined by a specific real-world outcome rather than ongoing supply and demand for an underlying asset.<\/span>"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary\/6247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/glossary"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"glossary-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary-category?post=6247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}