{"id":6247,"date":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/?post_type=glossary&#038;p=6247"},"modified":"2026-08-07T10:10:34","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T08:10:34","slug":"what-are-event-contracts","status":"publish","type":"glossary","link":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/resources\/glossary\/what-are-event-contracts\/","title":{"rendered":"Was sind Ereignisvertr\u00e4ge?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Ereigniskontrakte<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> sind Finanzinstrumente, die einen festen Betrag basierend auf dem Ja-oder-Nein-Ergebnis eines spezifischen realen Ereignisses zahlen. Jeder Kontrakt hat eine definierte Frage und ein Ablaufdatum, zu welchem Zeitpunkt er sich mit seinem vollen Wert begleicht, wenn das Ergebnis als Ja aufl\u00f6st, oder mit Null, wenn es als Nein aufl\u00f6st. M\u00e4rkte existieren in Politik, Wirtschaft, Sport, Wetter und kulturellen Ereignissen und bieten H\u00e4ndlern Zugang zu Ergebnissen, die traditionelle Finanzinstrumente nicht direkt bepreisen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ereigniskontrakte werden auf Prognosem\u00e4rkten gehandelt, welche B\u00f6rsen sind, auf denen die Ja- und Nein-Positionen separat notiert werden, wobei sich die Preise zwischen $0 und $1 bewegen, wenn neue Informationen die wahrgenommene Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses \u00e4ndern. Ein Kontrakt, der mit $0.60 f\u00fcr Ja bepreist ist, impliziert die kollektive Ansicht des Marktes, dass das Ja-Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 60% hat. H\u00e4ndler k\u00f6nnen jede Seite einnehmen, bis zum Ablauf f\u00fcr die feste Abrechnung halten oder ein- und aussteigen, wenn sich die Preise bewegen.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ereigniskontrakte sind zu einer der am schnellsten wachsenden Anlageklassen im Privathandel geworden, teilweise angetrieben durch die Zug\u00e4nglichkeit des Produkts und teilweise durch die Vielfalt der verf\u00fcgbaren M\u00e4rkte.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"glossary-category":[131],"class_list":["post-6247","glossary","type-glossary","status-publish","hentry","glossary-category-trader-glossary"],"acf":{"target_keyword":"Event contracts","glossary_post_image":"","key_takeaway":"Key Takeaway","key_takeaway_description":"Event contracts are yes-or-no financial instruments that pay a fixed amount based on the outcome of a defined real-world event. They trade on prediction markets at prices between $0 and $1, reflecting the probability of the yes outcome.","faq":"<b>What kinds of events can event contracts cover?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The range includes political outcomes such as elections and legislation, economic releases such as central bank rate decisions and inflation prints, sports outcomes, weather events, cultural milestones, and any other outcome with a defined resolution point. Prediction markets add new contracts as demand emerges around specific events.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How is the price of an event contract determined?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prices move between $0 and $1 based on the market's collective view of how likely the yes outcome is. A contract priced at $0.30 for yes implies a 30% probability. Prices update in real time as new information becomes available and as traders buy and sell the yes and no sides.<\/span>\r\n\r\n<b>How are event contracts different from other trading instruments?<\/b>\r\n\r\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Event contracts have a defined outcome and a scheduled resolution date, whereas most other trading instruments trade continuously without a set endpoint. Prices are bounded between $0 and $1 rather than moving freely, and the value is determined by a specific real-world outcome rather than ongoing supply and demand for an underlying asset.<\/span>"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary\/6247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/glossary"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"glossary-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/propaccount.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/glossary-category?post=6247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}